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Latest analyses

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Bearish market sentiment

Bearish market sentiment

Phase at the financial markets is currently not an easy one for most investors. This week we have officially entered a bear market, the S&P 500 index has fallen again and traders are once again in pain. The cryptocurrency market, which as an asset was supposed to be resilient to global influences, has also seen record declines.* How do you act in a situation like this and where do you invest?

The US stock market is bleeding, Monday's drop in the S&P 500 index confirmed a bear market for the first time since March 2020. The reasons for this are clear, high inflation, concerns about future economic developments and last but not least the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The benchmark S&P 500 index recorded a 3.9% decline at the beginning of the week, taking it to a level 21.8% below its record closing high of 3 January. This rapid 20% drop from its high is confirmation that the bear market is here.*

PLbear_cerv1

The performance of the S&P 500 Index over the past 5 years. (Source: Investing)

Alternative investments

During times like these cryptocurrencies were supposed to be a lifesaver, but they are not. The ship with this type of asset is currently sinking faster than expected. However, it is questionable whether cryptocurrencies will return to their previous values again. We have seen high volatility in the past with Bitcoin, which has subsequently recovered, but it must be clear to all that cryptocurrencies are indeed a risky and volatile investment. That is why real estate investments are also coming up today, and we should also be cautious with this alternative, because prices could start to fall. In California, the value of luxury real estate has already started to fall. Sales of luxury properties in the US fell by 17.8% year-on-year during the three months ending 30 April. This is the biggest drop since the coronavirus pandemic, and there are concerns about whether the decline will gradually spread to cheaper properties and then the trend may spread into Europe.

Tourism on the rise during summer

After two years of pandemics, tourism is on the upswing and many destinations are expecting an increased influx. So airlines could also come under the spotlight and share values could trend upwards, at least over the summer. [1] For example, United Airlines has reported a jump in global travel demand. Contributing to this was the lifting of a 17-month requirement in the U.S. that airline passengers arriving in the country have to be tested for COVID-19. Thus, airline stocks may be an interesting option at a time of bearish market sentiment.

PLbear_cerv2

The performance of United Airlines Holdings Inc over the last 5 years. (Source: Investing)

Energy and commodities at the top

Energy commodities seem to be experiencing a high expansion and the energy sector is the only one that has maintained an uptrend. Despite the first ranks in growth, it is questionable whether it is the right time to invest finances in this sector, as many experts warn that the commodities market is already overvalued, while others say that in the coming months, for example oil will still be on the rise.

Globally, it is really difficult to predict which asset will rise during a bear market trend. However, historically, we can say that over the long term, which is 10 to 20 years, most company stocks have always returned to higher levels.*

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* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

[1] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or based on the current economic environment which is subject to change. Such statements are not guaranteeing of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements.

The content of this material constitutes marketing communication and should not be considered as any type of investment advice and/or investment research and/or a solicitation for any transactions. This material was prepared for informational/educational purposes only and does not imply an obligation to perform investment transactions nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. BCM Begin Capital Markets Cy Ltd and its relevant persons including affiliates, agents, directors, or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness, or completeness of any information/data provided by third parties and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the said information/data. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Profile photo of Lucia ┼Ż├írska

Chief Analyst at ProfitLevel

Lucia ┼Ż├írska

Co-founder of the Mafinn website where she educated the general public about different types of investments. As she says, investing can be clear, understandable and accessible to all, you just need to be aware of how to do it. For this reason she decided to pursue her next career into financial markets. As the chief analyst of the brokerage company ProfitLevel she focuses on this topic more deeply and specifically. At the same time she continues to write professional texts about capital markets for the print and online media, also for blogs.

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